The chart of openings in past four years indicates this weekend should open with one moderate to big opening, a moderate one, and a small one. The lineup shown below confirms that.
This weekend we have two openings.
FRIDAY: All shots!
MONDAY: Official numbers!
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SNAP BACK TO REALITY, OH THERE GOES GRAVITY
This one, Gravity, is a thriller/suspense PG-13 movie, from Warner Bros.
Any other time of year, I'd copy the Unstoppable opening. It was the movie with Danzel Washington, Chris Pine, and mechanical menace in a form of a train that broke free. Now we have George Clooney, Sandra Bullock, and mechanical menace in a form of a broken satellite orbiting Earth. The same thing, really. So, easy shot of $ 7000 per theater, move to the next movie.
But we are still in the Oscar's suckers season. Critics say the movie itself, and both lead actors (Sandra Bullock especially) look very promising in terms of netting the Prize nominations. So I have to take that into account. The result may look too big, but I'm comfortable with it.
Shots:
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$ 55,78 mln -- the official weekend number of the movie (3575 theaters, $ 15,604 per theater)
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$ 47 mln -- Damon Houx, ScreenCrave
$ 44,9 mln -- Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 42 mln -- C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 42 mln -- Box Office team
$ 42 mln -- Donald Shanahan, Examiner
$ 41,2 mln -- Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
$ 39,5 mln -- Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
$ 35 mln -- Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru
$ 35 mln -- ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline
$ 30,21 mln -- Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2013 (3575 theaters, $ 8450 per theater)
$ 30 mln -- Perri Nemiroff, Shockya
Sensei White Lotus, of BreitBart, didn't post shots this weekend.
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IF JUSTIN AND BEN WORE BLUE DRESSES, THIS MOVIE WOULD SWEEP OSCARS NOMINATIONS
Justin Timberlake is not a guy that looks good in action movies. In any movies, for that matter. His two best openings, Bad Teacher ($ 10,365 per theater) and Friends with Benefits ($ 6364 per theater), were driven by lead female actresses: Cameron Diaz and Mila Kunis, respectively. This time Gemma Arterton wears the dress. Her star power is on par with Amanda Seyfried or Olivia Wilde, who both were cast in In Time, another movie with Justin. That movie opened with $ 3860 per theater. I think it is too high for that one, but let's give some credit to the third person on the poster: Big Ben.
Or not.
So, lower shot than In Time. Fine by me.
I love Big Ben's character in Payback, but other stuff... I'm happy it works for him. Yeah, very happy. Good luck, dude!
Shots:
$ 14,4 mln -- Laremy Legel, RopeOfSilicon
$ 14 mln -- ThisIsNotMyName, BoxOfficePredictionsOnline
$ 13,5 mln -- Mitch Metcalf, ShowBuzzDaily
$ 13 mln -- Perri Nemiroff, Shockya
$ 12 mln -- C.S. Strowbridge, The-Numbers
$ 11,8 mln -- Ray Subers, BoxOfficeMojo
$ 11 mln -- Box Office team
$ 11 mln -- Donald Shanahan, Examiner
$ 10 mln -- Gitesh Pandya, BoxOfficeGuru
$ 9,37 mln -- Mario Ludwinski, USBOPredictions2013 (3024 theaters, $ 3100 per theater)
$ 8,5 mln -- Damon Houx, ScreenCrave
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$ 7,7 mln -- the official weekend number of the movie (3024 theaters, $ 2547 per theater)
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Sensei White Lotus, of BreitBart, didn't post shots this weekend.
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